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What are the chances?
Posted: Sun May 18, 2008 6:51 pm
by Nevah play JJ
Hi all..
I have to boast again.. LOL
Thursday, I had a voucher to spend for that 'other league' so I went along to the pub to play one last game with them, and got dealt
4h 5h
I bet because I love small connecters.. blah blah blah
Can't remember any more about the hand but I ended up getting a flush straight
2h 3h 4h 5h 6h
Today playing at The Emu I got dealt
4h 5h
Well, of course I played them, because I love them.. blah blah blah
Can you believe this???????
The flop comes out
2h 3h 6h
Can't remember the rest of the hand.. lol
STRAIGHT FLUSH AGAIN!!!
Exactly the same as the last one....
WOO HOOOOOOOO
Re: What are the chances?
Posted: Sun May 18, 2008 7:18 pm
by rcon
WOW - I'd imagine the chances aren't very much at all.
I snagged 4 lots of quads in a 2 week period late last year - plus 2 on the board. That was a little freaky, but I suspect it aint quite as rare as 2x straight flush.
I can't find my link for it, but does anyone have the probabilities of drawing straight flushes? isn't it something like over 10, 000 : 1?
Re: What are the chances?
Posted: Sun May 18, 2008 7:39 pm
by AceLosesKing
rcon wrote:I can't find my link for it, but does anyone have the probabilities of drawing straight flushes? isn't it something like over 10, 000 : 1?
http://www.texasholdem-poker.com/calculatorHere are your chances ON THE FLOP:
Chance of getting a Straight Flush on the flop: 0.02%
Chance of getting a Straight Flush on the flop: 1 in 4900.00
Re: What are the chances?
Posted: Sun May 18, 2008 8:04 pm
by rcon
Thanks ALK, but not quite the one I was after - was wondering what the chances were before being dealt, what my chances are of having a straight flush by the end of the board.
Re: What are the chances?
Posted: Sun May 18, 2008 8:36 pm
by Des
Hi JJ,
I'm well known in the NPL world as the guy who flopped a straight flush to win $500 off Dakota

Then at the strath one night (anzac day)... Dakota dealt me another flopped straight flush.
So anytime I play, I don't mind if Dakota is around!! 0.020408163% baby!
Re: What are the chances?
Posted: Sun May 18, 2008 8:46 pm
by maccatak11
Chance of getting a Straight Flush on the flop: 0.02%
Chance of getting a Straight Flush on the flop: 1 in 4900.00
might have to check your figures there cos 0.02 is not the same as 1 in 4900. 0.02 is actually 1 in 50. Possibly missing a zero or three between the decimal place and the 2.
Re: What are the chances?
Posted: Sun May 18, 2008 10:19 pm
by Des
0.02% doesnt equal 1 in 50
2% equals 1 in 50
Re: What are the chances?
Posted: Sun May 18, 2008 10:22 pm
by bennymacca
maccatak11 wrote:might have to check your figures there cos 0.02 is not the same as 1 in 4900. 0.02 is actually 1 in 50. Possibly missing a zero or three between the decimal place and the 2.
0.02 = 2% = 1/50
0.0002 = 0.02% = 1/5000
Re: What are the chances?
Posted: Sun May 18, 2008 11:06 pm
by rcon
Des wrote:Then at the strath one night (anzac day)... Dakota dealt me another flopped straight flush.
ARE YOU FOR REAL? You flopped
ANOTHER straight flush
what about me, it isn't fair I don't have none and I want my share!!!!
HAHAHA!
Re: What are the chances?
Posted: Sun May 18, 2008 11:49 pm
by Des
I know.. it was hell funny
after i went all in on the river and got called, i showed my hand and i reckon i got the hardest high 5 ive ever had!!