You're a Bunch of Factors

xtal wrote:i did not win

Scott wrote:Not in the points, 53 runners

AceLosesKing wrote:

xtal wrote:i did not win

You shouldn't be expected to. Winning is very hard, and on the final table, has more to do with luck, than your chip stack. With $19,000 at the start of the second break anything can happen. You could call an all in for $5,000 with AA and get smashed by trips. Next hand, hit a straight, call an all in for $7,000, lose to quads. Then you're left with $7,000, after two hands. Still think you're gonna win? Anything can happen that early.

The night was far from over - just because you have that many chips, that early, doesn't mean you're locked into a position on the final table. Out of curiosity, where did you finish, and how many runners were there?

Garth Kay wrote:Really ALK? Having 19,000 at the first break with 53 runners does not mean you should not be expected to make the final table. Even saying that you should not be expected to make the final table with any chipstack is a comment I would advise you to review.
If I am in a tournament with 53 runners and a start bank of 3,000 that equates to 159,000 chips in play, I have 12% of the chips in play. I also have the chip stack of the average chip stack size when there are eight players remaining.
I would be expecting to make the final table 66% of the time in this position, I would also be expecting a points position 80% of the time.
When playing in a tournament I always set myself a goal of how many chips I want to be holding at certain times of the tournament. I always have a final table goal for chip stack size. Something you should always be considering is what the average chip stack is in the room (how many players started multiplied by start stack divided by players remaining), what blind levels you are at how many rounds of the table you can do without playing until you are blinded out, and how far away I am from my elapsed goal time and what I need to do to achieve my goal.

But with a lead like that, as mentioned above, you should be contemplating a points finish every time. Only because as a poker player you should never doubt yourself or your ability whilst in a tourney. And to say that someone should not expect to make the final table, no matter in what context, is probably not the best comment.