You're a Bunch of Factors

PokerStars Game #32212720236: Hold'em No Limit ($0.10/$0.25 USD) - 2009/08/30 10:06:04 AEST [2009/08/29 20:06:04 ET]
Table 'Tanga V' 9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: GeRuMo13 ($5.50 in chips)
Seat 2: ukiboy2 ($13.95 in chips)
Seat 3: hugebucks ($7.85 in chips)
Seat 4: MarcRx4 ($11.90 in chips)
Seat 5: davidounette ($12.85 in chips)
Seat 6: asertivo ($10 in chips)
Seat 9: fishfinderuf ($8.25 in chips)
hugebucks: posts small blind $0.10
MarcRx4: posts big blind $0.25
Ayca27: sits out
GeRuMo13: posts big blind $0.25
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to MarcRx4 [Ad 8c]
davidounette: raises $0.25 to $0.50
asertivo: folds
fishfinderuf: folds
GeRuMo13: folds
ukiboy2: folds
hugebucks: calls $0.40
MarcRx4: calls $0.25
*** FLOP *** [4d 7d 6d]
hugebucks: checks
MarcRx4: checks
davidounette: bets $1.25
hugebucks: folds
ViciousVik0 joins the table at seat #8
MarcRx4: raises $2.50 to $3.75
davidounette: calls $2.50
*** TURN *** [4d 7d 6d] [5d]
MarcRx4: checks
davidounette: checks
*** RIVER *** [4d 7d 6d 5d] [8d]
MarcRx4: checks
davidounette: checks
*** SHOW DOWN ***
MarcRx4: shows [Ad 8c] (a straight flush, Four to Eight)
davidounette: shows [Th Ah] (a straight flush, Four to Eight)
MarcRx4 collected $4.40 from pot
davidounette collected $4.40 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $9.25 | Rake $0.45
Board [4d 7d 6d 5d 8d]
Seat 1: GeRuMo13 folded before Flop
Seat 2: ukiboy2 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: hugebucks (small blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 4: MarcRx4 (big blind) showed [Ad 8c] and won ($4.40) with a straight flush, Four to Eight
Seat 5: davidounette showed [Th Ah] and won ($4.40) with a straight flush, Four to Eight
Seat 6: asertivo folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: fishfinderuf folded before Flop (didn't bet)

Sick hand

Statistics would say 1. Because it has happened.

Pokerstove would say

2.3% Draw

Brett Kay wrote:Statistics would say 1. Because it has happened.

Pokerstove would say

2.3% Draw

wat? statistics tells you about the likelihood of something happening in the future, not what happened in the past.

to work it out, you need to do some combination theory.

out of 52 cards, there are 2,598,960 combinations of 5 cards hands.

so the odds are 1/2598960 or a 0.000038% chance

Q: What are the odds of a player on Pokerstars calling a raise on a board that is straighting and flushing and he has absolutely none of it?

A: Odds on!

bennymacca wrote:

Brett Kay wrote:Statistics would say 1. Because it has happened.

Pokerstove would say

2.3% Draw

wat? statistics tells you about the likelihood of something happening in the future, not what happened in the past.

to work it out, you need to do some combination theory.

out of 52 cards, there are 2,598,960 combinations of 5 cards hands.

so the odds are 1/2598960 or a 0.000038% chance

Statistics is using collected data to determine the probability of the outcome. So in this case. Our data is 1 hand, in which the board is a straight flush. Therefore from the data set provided. It is 1. . It was a stupid stats joke thanks to one of my uni prof's.

As for the 2.3% Ran it through stove for the river, and just took the draw.