benny the cunt is officially banned from this section of the forum

[bennymacca]

I still don't comprehend the snap on the river, the only thing you can put him on here is a complete bluff to call in this spot.

That's the thing though. benny the cunt knows that if I have an Ace then I can't call the river so I think he bluffs the club more often than usual and given the amount in the pot, without doing the actual math, I think a call could, maybe, possibly, perhaps be justified.

your 1k river bet is clearly designed for me to shove over the top and for you to snap call

[Swanky]

I still don't comprehend the snap on the river, the only thing you can put him on here is a complete bluff to call in this spot.

That's the thing though. benny the cunt knows that if I have an Ace then I can't call the river so I think he bluffs the club more often than usual and given the amount in the pot, without doing the actual math, I think a call could, maybe, possibly, perhaps be justified.

your 1k river bet is clearly designed for me to shove over the top and for you to snap call

There you go with your "Intelligent Design" theories again benny the cunt.
Please don't make me quote Richard Dawkins!

[wabbit999]

Maybe somebody could write an article about controlling tilt?

It would make trishan a better player. (and me also)

Yeh...one of my weakenesses. Need to speak to a life coach like Helmuth...

hehehe.... start by changing your Oh Snap picture... that just says TILT...

[AceLosesKing]

That was a fun read.

[trishan]

Let's say benny the cunt either has a flush or a bluff.
Let Z = % of time benny the cunt bluffs river
Pot is 16245 and I have to call 3845

EV = Z x 16245 - 3845
EV ≥ 0
Z x 16245 - 3845 ≥ 0
16245Z ≥ 3845
Z ≥ 3845/16245
Z ≥ .236 (24%)

benny the cunt has to be bluffing more than 24% to make it +EV.

I think because he is a level 2 thinker he will bluff the river more often than usual and I think it is more than 24% of the time anyway. But of course there will be disagreements. Garth reckons about 10%.

[bennymacca]

i reckon i bluff river less than 10%.

im not just saying that, im serious.

you are never folding after you lead for 1k on the river.

if you check you induce a lot more bluffs from me.

[trishan]

Which brings me to a pertinent point about maths. A classic problem is the old garbage in, garbage out issue. Your maths will only be as good as the estimations you make. So I estimate benny the cunt bluffs more than 24% of the time there so I make a call. But Garth probably knows a lot better and reckons 10% so he would fold. That's where you need experience.

[bennymacca]

Which brings me to a pertinent point about maths. A classic problem is the old garbage in, garbage out issue. Your maths will only be as good as the estimations you make. So I estimate benny the cunt bluffs more than 24% of the time there so I make a call. But Garth probably knows a lot better and reckons 10% so he would fold. That's where you need experience.

this is a good point actually.

this is where reads come in.

maths is always ALWAYS correct, but the reads are not.

[muzzington]

I think you missed an overbet.

[gmatical]

Do you call a c-bet (half pot-ish) on the flop here benny the cunt?