T-I-L-T

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JMACK007
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Re: T-I-L-T

Postby JMACK007 » Tue Feb 15, 2011 12:01 am

bennymacca wrote:what would you estimate your chances of winning on any given night are?

That is kinda a simplified example of the question I asked? Do you know the answer?
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Re: T-I-L-T

Postby 666HARPS666 » Tue Feb 15, 2011 12:05 am

bennymacca wrote:what would you estimate your chances of winning on any given night are?


Jo's would be high , Mine would be more like what are the chances of me not having a drink @ venue Very Low
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Re: T-I-L-T

Postby bennymacca » Tue Feb 15, 2011 12:10 am

JMACK007 wrote:
bennymacca wrote:what would you estimate your chances of winning on any given night are?

That is kinda a simplified example of the question I asked? Do you know the answer?



once you work out the probability of success for each individual event, then you can use some mathematics to work out the overall probability of x wins in 5 tries.

i have done some estimates :D
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Re: T-I-L-T

Postby JMACK007 » Tue Feb 15, 2011 12:12 am

I must add that this is very real, please give me your best odds. The total amount of the bet will be at my discretion however, so better to give odds up to a maximum amount. I will lock in odds at 7:00pm ADL time tomorrow night (Tues 15th Feb).
What?, poker without the river??, you've just made my dreams come true!!!

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Re: T-I-L-T

Postby JMACK007 » Tue Feb 15, 2011 12:13 am

bennymacca wrote:
JMACK007 wrote:
bennymacca wrote:what would you estimate your chances of winning on any given night are?

That is kinda a simplified example of the question I asked? Do you know the answer?



once you work out the probability of success for each individual event, then you can use some mathematics to work out the overall probability of x wins in 5 tries.

i have done some estimates :D

I knew you would benny the cunt, so maybe a revision of your odds offered may be in order?? :?: ;)
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Re: T-I-L-T

Postby madali » Tue Feb 15, 2011 12:15 am

bennymacca wrote:
JMACK007 wrote:
bennymacca wrote:what would you estimate your chances of winning on any given night are?

That is kinda a simplified example of the question I asked? Do you know the answer?



once you work out the probability of success for each individual event, then you can use some mathematics to work out the overall probability of x wins in 5 tries.

i have done some estimates :D


Which in benny the cunt terms means that by the time I have finished typing this post he will have worked out to 10 decimal points the odds are of you winning in his head ( this is why it scares me so to see him at my table). I still have faith though that you will take down at least 1 game this week just based on how well I know you play Jo.

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Re: T-I-L-T

Postby bennymacca » Tue Feb 15, 2011 12:18 am

2.6:1 is my final offer, obviously if you can find someone to offer you better odds then thats cool.

I will also offer 1:7 ON that you will make a final table. i.e if you make a FT i pay you $10, if you dont then you pay me $70

after the bet is over i can show you the maths that i used, but obviously it is not in the gambling spirit to do that now :D
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Re: T-I-L-T

Postby JMACK007 » Tue Feb 15, 2011 12:20 am

1006.....damn! I missed the 1000.....!

Thanks Gayle, I wish I shared your enthusiasm! But seriously, this goal is real and as far as I am concerned, I need to achieve it...
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Re: T-I-L-T

Postby bennymacca » Tue Feb 15, 2011 12:20 am

it might help if you state what your maximum wager is going to be
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Re: T-I-L-T

Postby JMACK007 » Tue Feb 15, 2011 12:23 am

bennymacca wrote:2.6:1 is my final offer, obviously if you can find someone to offer you better odds then thats cool.

I will also offer 1:7 ON that you will make a final table. i.e if you make a FT i pay you $10, if you dont then you pay me $70
after the bet is over i can show you the maths that i used, but obviously it is not in the gambling spirit to do that now :D

Thanks benny the cunt, that last one would be easy to win, but I don't want to throw all the games this week! I will wait for real odds to be offered on the original bet....
What?, poker without the river??, you've just made my dreams come true!!!


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